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Why Chasing Down the Market May Be A Bitter Pill to Swallow...

 

War paint

 

In Grand Rapids, Michigan it's an argument that every real estate agent has heard at least once.  In the opinion of most...one time too many.  It goes something like this.  I'd like to sell my home, but I need (X) amount from it.  I know that you are recommending I list my home for 10 ~15 % Less than (X) but I figure that if buyers are interested, they will make an offer.  I refer to this argument as the decision to Chase Down the Market.

Chasing Down the Market has become a real estate consumer sport.  Homeowners gambling with the odds of Selling their home before the market swings further south usually have several options up their sleeves.  These include:  Lowering the Price of the home, offering incentives to buyers such as 3 months of FREE Mortgage Payments or providing decorating allowances. These are held out like chips to bait potential home buyers.

Sometimes, these gambits work and attract an offer.  But, it's usually not the offer that was anticipated or expected.  What we are seeing in Grand Rapids, Michigan and across the country is that buyers for homes are remarkably well informed.  Incentives are no longer viewed as reasons to purchase.  Instead, savvy buyers dig deeper to try to determine WHY Incentives are necessary. 

Savvy buyers understand that irregardless of the market, Accurately Priced Homes will Sell even within a challenged market like Grand Rapids, Michigan within 3-4 months. 

It's particularly instructive to note that Banks who own a number of Foreclosed homes in the Grand Rapids area right now also understand this.  In fact, these banks will often lower their prices several times within a relatively short period of time simply to ensure a quick sale. This tactic has led to an increase in the sales of Bank Owned Homes to a level which is almost 50% of ALL Current Sales in the Grand Rapids area.

The implications of so many foreclosed and short sale homes on the market has had a devastating effect on homeowners who are Chasing the Market Down.  Last year, the Grand Rapids Association of Realtors statistics indicated that homeowners who did not sell their homes during the first 5-6 months eventually Sold their homes for an average of 25% Less than the Listing Price.  This was in stark contrast to those who through pricing their home properly to reflect the current market usually Sold within 3-5% of the Listing Price

Thus the Penalty for Chasing the Market Down and Loosing in 2007 was about a 20% Reduction in Net Proceeds.  This did not take into account the investment of additional time on the market or the inconvenience of two mortgage payments in some cases. Unfortunately for home owners, playing this game in 2008 will be even more risky. 

With foreclosures and short sales on the rise, and a large influx of homes anticipated for Spring Market of 2008, the Grand Rapids real estate market simply does NOT have the elasticity to absorb all these homes for a couple of MAJOR REASONS.  The most significant issue is the Lending Crisis which has dried up funds for a large number of potential buyers.  Secondly, since many areas of West Michigan have now been designated as Declining Markets, potential buyers are being asked to come up with larger down-payments and sometimes having to pay higher interest rates unless they qualify for a government funded program.

In my view, Chasing Down the Market is a risky gambit. The twists and turns of gambling in this market require a pretty strong constitution...one which many home owners are ill equipped to maintain.  The closer your initial asking price is to the Bullseye, the better your chance of obtaining a fair price and the pre-requisite mortgage for a buyer which allows you to move on with your life.  Less exciting perhaps...but certainly easier on the stomach wouldn't you say?

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Lola Audu, CRS, GRI e-Pro ~ Audu Real Estate

Lola Audu, is the Designated Broker & Owner of Audu Real Estate.  Our company specializes in helping people buy and sell homes in the greater Grand Rapids, West Michigan area.  We've had the privilege of helping hundreds of clients succeed in their goals of purchasing and selling property including demonstrated success in the negotiation of Short Sale Transactions. You can contact us via e-mail @ info@auduhomes.com or by phone at 616-791-0511. 

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Comments

Great post!  I never thought of checking to see what percentage of homes sold were bank-owned homes.  It certainly helps prove your point, though. Good idea, thanks!
Posted by Marlene Scheffer, Realtor to Kitsap County, WA (Realty Station) almost 4 years ago

A great trainer in Florida, Stephen David, suggests the following: explain that we are in a declining market, the longer to the sale date, the less the market value would be. Ask your sellers where their pain threshold will be in 6 mos (what they would be willing to take at that time). Price it there NOW! If the seller is not motivated, take the listing.

ps-I have made my buttons but can't easily get them on the bottom of my blogs. I don't want to insert 4 photos with links every time. Is that how you do it? Isn't there a way to automate is using some sort of template?

Posted by Vickie Nagy, 925-407-7987 Broker for San Ramon, Danville, Dublin, Pleasanton (Vickie Nagy, Broker Associate BMC Real Estate DRE#01363932) almost 4 years ago
Marlene, The percentage of bank owned homes sold has become a significant and important component in our market.  This statistic includes homes sold via foreclosure and those in which banks agreed to take less than what was owed on the mortgage in a short sale.
Posted by Lola Audu~Audu Real Estate~Grand Rapids, MI Real Estate almost 4 years ago

Hi Vick...Thanks for your comment.  I think you meant to say that...If the seller is not motivated, DON'T take the listing.  That's good advise, although not easy for most of us to do.

With regards to the buttons, inserting photos with links is the option I've used. 

Posted by Lola Audu~Audu Real Estate~Grand Rapids, MI Real Estate almost 4 years ago

Lola, I'm seeing much of the same thing in regards to the banks now pricing their inventory of homes more aggressively than they did a year or so ago.  In fact, I've had investor clients miss out on homes that were only on the market days instead of weeks due to aggressive pricing. 

This is wise advice to sellers everywhere in our state.  Thank you. 

Posted by Kris Wales - Macomb County MI real estate blog & homes for sale search site (Keller Williams Realty - Lakeside Market Center) almost 4 years ago

it is better top tell the seller the truth up front whether they want to hear it or not, than make excuses later.  I have seen sellers who were not willing to price correctly have them sit and rot on the market.

Posted by Randy L. Prothero - Hawaii REALTORĀ® (808) 384-5645 (Century 21 Liberty Homes ) almost 4 years ago
Lola- This is such an important topic.  I see so many sellers engage in this practise which in most cases does not work in their favor but turn out to be a costly mistake.
Posted by Jennifer Fivelsdal Rhinebeck Real Estate (Serving Dutchess| Columbia|Ulster Ctys (LIC. R.E. Broker JFIVE Home Realty LLC ) almost 4 years ago
This is a perfect example of why you need a competent agent preparing a CMA for accuracy in what's happening in the market, even though it's not necessarily the price the Sellers had in mind.  Proper pricing saves time and money for everyone in the long run.
Posted by Ed Vogt, Grandville, MI Midwest Properties (Midwest Properties of Michigan) almost 4 years ago
Lola - my big question of the day is 'where did you get that photo'? I love it!
Posted by Bill's Blog - Florida Realty Professional - AHWD (Charles Rutenberg Realty) almost 4 years ago
Excellent insight and important topic.  I was in the recession in Calif in the early 1990's and watched sellers chase the market down and in the process loose hundreds of thousands of dollars.  It is critical in this market that agents convey this to their sellers and that they sellers embrace it!
Posted by Lake Norman Real Estate ~ Diane Aurit (LKN Realty, LLC) almost 4 years ago
Hi Kris, Banks are becoming much more aggresive about divesting their portfolios of their inventory.  We are seeing dramatic mark-downs in some cases in Michigan which savvy buyers are taking good advantage of.
Posted by Lola Audu~Audu Real Estate~Grand Rapids, MI Real Estate almost 4 years ago
Unfortunate isn't it Randy.  I think that most home owners are starting to understand the new realities of the market & will eventually respond. 
Posted by Lola Audu~Audu Real Estate~Grand Rapids, MI Real Estate almost 4 years ago
Hi Jennifer...most people don't realise how much over-pricing will cost them.  It's a pretty significant number.
Posted by Lola Audu~Audu Real Estate~Grand Rapids, MI Real Estate almost 4 years ago
Absolutely Ed! Thanks for your comment.
Posted by Lola Audu~Audu Real Estate~Grand Rapids, MI Real Estate almost 4 years ago
Thanks Bill & Barbar Jo! :)
Posted by Lola Audu~Audu Real Estate~Grand Rapids, MI Real Estate almost 4 years ago
Diane...Thanks for your comment.  The message must be conveyed...that is our responsbility.  Then it must it be embraced...that's the clients responsiblity.  A deficit in either of these two actions is very costly.
Posted by Lola Audu~Audu Real Estate~Grand Rapids, MI Real Estate almost 4 years ago

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